Bitcoin-halveringen er om en uge – hvad tænker kryptohandlere om prisen?

We’re in the last stretch before the Bitcoin halvering and market participants and professional traders are letting their thoughts known about the price. Historically, there’s always been a bullish sentiment before the halving. With the previous halvings, the price has dropped down a bit after the halving while being boosted right before it. Bitcoin miners have always chosen not to liquidate their holdings daily before the halving, instead accumulating assets waiting for the bullish run.

All the technical data is pointing to the same thing happening again this time. There’s only one big difference. Bitcoin has broken its all-time high months before the halving which takes place in a week, and experts, miners, and traders believe this is a signal that it’s going to reach sky-scraper heights in the near future.

Neutral to Bullish Predictions at the June 28 Expiry Date

With the Bitcoin halving arriving soon, pro traders are setting sights to options strategies. This puts them in a leveraging position with a small upfront deposit. It also allows them to bypass the risk of liquidation that’s prevalent in futures markets. The open interest for options expiring on June 28 has reached $4.5 billion. This shows an imbalance between buy and sell options. Bullish positions outnumber bearish positions by 3 times, although a deeper analysis is needed. But, obviously, the crypto market is currently in quite the optimistic mode.

Bitcoin’s unexpected surge has caught bears by surprise. It has most likely soared due to the approval of Bitcoin spot ETF'er and a 3% inflation drop. With the absence of the expected global economic recession, most bearish Bitcoin scenarios have evaporated in thin air.

A Death Spiral Effect?

The main question with the Bitcoin halving on the horizon is if it’ll experience a death spiral triggered by the reduction in block rewards. The most negative scenarios see Bitcoin drop down to $47K by June 28. This is about a 30% drop by current levels. However, the current call options up to $46,000 reveal a neutral to bullish strategies by the June 28 expiry date which would most likely see the price go higher than the pessimistic predictions.